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viejas blackjack side bets Hey guys I am new to this site but I have read a lot of the threads on here and thought this would be the appropriate place to ask this question.
I use hi-Lo system along with illustrious 18 and fab 4.
However I do not use the indices of hitting a 13 against a dealer 2 or 3 and I do not hit 12 against a 4 at negative counts unless I'm heads up against dealer I find it causes more issues with people at the table that I don't feel like dealing with.
Other than that I rarely lose the count and have decent deck estimation.
Over the past few years I have accumulated somewhere between 350-400 hours.
I usually play shoe games 6,8 decks with an avg of viejas blackjack side bets />Never playing anything that exceeds over 2 decks.
Bankroll is approx 40k.
I live in the San Diego area and have been backed off of almost every casino in the area e.
My first 30 hours of playing I was down about 9k.
Within the next 100 hours I made it all back and was up in the profit about 12k at around the 180 hour mark.
However in literally less than 25 hours I managed to lose all of it and was back in the negative.
My bankroll remained stagnant for a decent amount of time when at around the 290 hour mark I hit some positive flux and was back in the profit about 10k.
This again remained for another 25-30 hours but then last week in a span of 3 days roughly 15-20 hours on my trip I hit some serious negative flux of about 22k and find myself back in the red about 12k.
I knew that this was a brutal game going into it but I would have thought that after around 350-400 hours of playing over the past few years I would at least be in the positive.
Is it possible that they are rigging the decks or removing 10's or something?
They have good rules split 3 times, DAS, h17, 1.
Also after so many hours of play is it abnormal to be this much in the red?
Is it possible I'm doing something wrong or is it just variance?
I have the Blackjack Trainer Pro app and have no problems or make any mistakes on it and can count a deck down in about 20-22 seconds.
This negative variance has really been eating away at me since it seems like every time I get in the green I iust hit a massive losing streak and go back in the red.
I would have thought that after this much play I would at least be even.
Any advice, answers, or comments would really be appreciated.
Could you provide a little more specific information about your betting patterns.
I am really after your bet ramp.
The reason, I am asking for this info, is that I have found many newer players 'ramping up' too slowly for today's conditions, sometimes using a very slow ramp from blackjack hi lo simulator ago when conditions were better.
My specific concern is that if you are ramping up too slowly, you might not be getting your max bet out until too late.
I have seen players use a 1-12 or 1-16 spread but they don't get that max bet out until TC of +8 or higher, which occurs so infrequently it is almost useless.
Basically has the effect of a much smaller spread.
In a shoe game, you should have your max bet out by TC +4 or +5.
Getting it out later has that ffect of playing with a smaller spread and not getting the full benefit of your max bets.
Just say no to 6:5 Blackjack, Continuous shuffle machines and Blackjack the Forum.
All are Negative expected value.
Thanks for the warm welcome Kewlj!
Should be a winning spread and ramp based on the rules mentioned.
Blackjack pays 3-2 right?
What is that surrender after you hit rule?
I have never heard of that?
Just say no to 6:5 Blackjack, Continuous shuffle machines and Blackjack the Forum.
All are Negative expected value.
Yes blackjack plays 3:2.
I had never heard of it either until I came here.
It's one of the huge reasons I started going there so often.
It's basically the ability to surrender your hand at any point during the hand except after doubles.
So for example in a situation where I have a lot of money out, if I get a 9 against a dealer 10 and I hit and get a 7, instead of having to stand my 16 against the dealer 10 I now have the option of surrendering.
It's definitely not spanish 21 because when I get a 21 and free games ws blackjack dealer gets a 21 I push and don't win Quote: Flippyfish Yes blackjack plays 3:2.
I had never heard of it either until I came here.
It's one of the huge reasons I started going there so often.
It's basically the ability to surrender your hand at any point during the hand except after doubles.
So for example in a think, casino games free 88 fortunes have where I have a lot of money out, if I get a 9 against a dealer 10 and I hit and get a 7, instead of having to stand my 16 against the dealer 10 I now have the option of surrendering.
I've found it helpful when I have a lot of money on the line and I hit and get a crap hand that I would normally surrender.
Yes, that would be a helpful rule.
I wonder what that add to the mix.
Like regular surrender it would add more for counters who will be taking more advantage of it with their larger wagers out.
Any of you math guys want to chime in and tell me what that rule is worth?
Now, back to your results, Flippyfish.
I can offer you a little comparison based on my own experiences that may or may not help you.
I play BJ for a living, playing the same level ballpark.
I track my play in estimation of rounds played rather than time hours but a fair estimate is that I play somewhere between 1000 hours and 1200 hours a year.
In the last 5 years, I have had 3 different losing 6 month periods, meaning I played for 500-600 hours and was behind for that length of time.
Each of those years ended in the black for the whole year and 2 of the three actually pretty close to expectation.
Only last year was significantly below expectation, but still in the black for the year.
What I am saying is that for me, 500-600 hour losing periods are not that unusual unfortunately.
Since your 400 hour period is approaching my half year 500-600 hour estimate, being in the red 12 grand after 400 hours doesn't seem strikingly unusual viejas blackjack side bets me.
Of course I have gone through these streaks several times and come out the other side.
Going through such a period viejas blackjack side bets first time, you question everything, just as you are doing.
Only think I would want to make sure of is that your game is sound, which I can only take your word for it.
Be honest with yourself.
Make sure you are not chasing losses, by betting bigger than called for when things aren't going well.
Make sure you are sticking to that sound 'betting ramp and spread' mentioned and not cheating by placing wagers when the count is almost to such a point.
These are traps that even good, and experienced counters sometimes fall into.
The results of these little traps will have you over betting your advantage.
You really have to be disciplined about your betting ramps and spread.
Just say no to 6:5 Blackjack, Continuous shuffle machines and Blackjack the Forum.
All are Negative expected value.
It's incredibly disheartening to go through a losing streak.
While I get emotional about the source I make sure not to let it affect my game it's just unfortunate that my first 400 hours have to be a negative one.
Which is one of the viejas blackjack side bets why I have become paranoid about them rigging the deck unbeknownst to us playing.
Nevertheless I appreciate you sharing your experience with me.
Sometimes listening to other people's horros stories can be reassuring to myself that as long as I continue to play a positive EV game I just need to wait out the storm whether it's a few months or a few years.
You gave WAY too much information about yourself, your age, where you go to school, where you've been backed off, and where you've played recently.
You should edit that information out immediately, including the other thread you created.
That new card room you mentioned pays 6:5 on blackjacks and only has 6 deck shoes.
The house advantage is around 2%, which is atrocious unless you're only wonging in when the TC is 4, which is only breakeven at that point.
They have a "syndicate" that viejas blackjack side bets the game since the house can't bank it, even though the syndicate IS the house.
Not sure what their surrender after hit rule adds to the player.
Either way, it's sure not enough viejas blackjack side bets compensate for the 6:5 on blackjack.
You still have about three actual casinos, not card rooms, in your area to play at, unless you are also backed off from those casinos.
Harrah's is quick to back off, so my advice is to keep it low key and avoid getting backed off there since that will mean you can't play at any Caesar's Entertainment properties.
Counting down a deck in 20-22 seconds is pretty slow for Hi-Lo, but accuracy is more important than speed.
Are you sure you aren't making any mistakes in person?
Deck estimation and true count conversion are extremely important in making those play variations.
Who cares what players say about hitting your 12s and 13s.
You must do it if it's the correct decision to do so.
For most counting systems, the chance of being behind after 400 hours of play is around 2-5%, I believe.
A few other words: refuse to play marginal games and don't just play for the sake of playing just because it's the only game available.
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